tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Colorado Springs via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 06:25 PHX → 11:40 MDW
    WN 3295 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 MDW → 14:00 COS
    WN 1230 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 35mPHX 06:25 to COS 14:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.