tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:25 PHX → 11:40 MDW
    WN 3295 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MDW → 14:10 STL
    WN 2902 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 45mPHX 06:25 to STL 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.