tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fort Lauderdale via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 06:25 PHX → 11:40 MDW
    WN 3295 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 MDW → 18:55 FLL
    WN 4899 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip9h 30mPHX 06:25 to FLL 18:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.