tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Wichita via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:35 PHX → 19:55 MDW
    WN 3297 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 42% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MDW → 23:35 ICT
    WN 4241 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 00mPHX 14:35 to ICT 23:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.