tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 23:55 PHX → 05:10 MDW
    WN 3298 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 50mPHX 23:55 to BWI 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.