tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 94%

  1. 23:55 PHX → 05:10 MDW
    WN 3298 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 MDW → 10:42 PHL +1 day
    WN 4122 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 47mPHX 23:55 to PHL 10:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.