tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Los Angeles via Las Vegas: arrives on time 24%

  1. 20:30 AUS → 21:15 LAS
    WN 330 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 LAS → 23:45 LAX
    WN 1056 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 15mAUS 20:30 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.