tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 13%

  1. 20:30 AUS → 21:15 LAS
    WN 330 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 LAS → 00:52 SEA +1 day
    WN 963 · Southwest · 2h 42m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 22mAUS 20:30 to SEA 00:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.