tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:25 HOU → 15:05 PHX
    WN 3304 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 PHX → 17:10 LAS
    WN 3283 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 41% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 45mHOU 14:25 to LAS 17:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.