tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Omaha: arrives on time 87%

  1. 21:25 PHX → 01:55 OMA
    WN 3311 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Omaha (OMA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 05:25 OMA → 06:50 MDW +1 day
    WN 4504 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 25mPHX 21:25 to MDW 06:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.