tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Dulles via New Orleans: arrives on time 89%

  1. 07:00 DAL → 08:25 MSY
    WN 3312 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:17 MSY → 15:50 IAD
    UA 2497 · United · 2h 33m · 92% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 50mDAL 07:00 to IAD 15:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.