tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Bozeman via San Diego: arrives on time 18%

  1. 10:05 PHX → 11:20 SAN
    WN 3322 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 52% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:10 SAN → 15:55 BZN
    WN 1133 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 50mPHX 10:05 to BZN 15:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.