tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Antonio via San Diego: arrives on time 10%

  1. 18:15 PHX → 19:25 SAN
    WN 3324 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SAN → 01:12 SAT +1 day
    WN 3530 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 29% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip5h 00mPHX 18:15 to SAT 01:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.