tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kailua/Kona via Sacramento: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:20 PHX → 07:15 SMF
    WN 3343 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 SMF → 12:20 KOA
    WN 3783 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 00mPHX 05:20 to KOA 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.