tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Baltimore via St Louis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:00 PHX → 09:50 STL
    WN 3352 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 STL → 14:05 BWI
    WN 4614 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 76% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 05mPHX 05:00 to BWI 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.