tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via St Louis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 20:55 PHX → 01:52 STL
    WN 3354 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 32% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 05:05 STL → 08:25 TPA +1 day
    WN 3985 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 30mPHX 20:55 to TPA 08:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.