tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 17:20 SEA → 20:15 PHX
    WN 3354 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 PHX → 00:55 SFO +1 day
    WN 1098 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 35mSEA 17:20 to SFO 00:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.