tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → El Paso via Phoenix: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:20 SEA → 20:15 PHX
    WN 3354 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 PHX → 00:55 ELP +1 day
    WN 662 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip6h 35mSEA 17:20 to ELP 00:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.