tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dallas via Tampa: arrives on time 18%

  1. 13:35 PHX → 20:35 TPA
    WN 3355 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 TPA → 22:55 DAL
    WN 4015 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip7h 20mPHX 13:35 to DAL 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.