tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Boise via Oakland: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:05 MDW → 12:35 OAK
    WN 3366 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 OAK → 16:00 BOI
    WN 803 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 55mMDW 10:05 to BOI 16:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.