tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:15 AUS → 21:30 BWI
    WN 3385 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 33% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BWI → 00:20 DTW +1 day
    WN 942 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 00mAUS 17:15 to DTW 00:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.