Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Buffalo → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 4%
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16:40 BUF → 18:15 DENWN 3413 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:05 DEN → 22:10 MSPWN 2677 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 34% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection12%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 88% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (12%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip6h 27mBUF 16:40 to MSP 22:10, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.