tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:40 PWM → 09:15 MDW
    WN 3415 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 05mPWM 07:40 to MSP 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.