tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Minneapolis via Nashville: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:38 RDU → 07:08 BNA
    WN 3418 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 BNA → 10:15 MSP
    WN 2160 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 37mRDU 06:38 to MSP 10:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.