tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Phoenix via Nashville: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:38 RDU → 07:08 BNA
    WN 3418 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:02 BNA → 09:38 PHX
    WN 3770 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 82% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 59mRDU 06:38 to PHX 09:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.