tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Austin via Nashville: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:38 RDU → 07:08 BNA
    WN 3418 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 BNA → 10:10 AUS
    WN 4149 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 32mRDU 06:38 to AUS 10:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.