tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Denver via Nashville: arrives on time 50%

  1. 06:38 RDU → 07:08 BNA
    WN 3418 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 BNA → 09:40 DEN
    WN 499 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 02mRDU 06:38 to DEN 09:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.