tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Sacramento via Santa Ana: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:45 LAS → 17:50 SNA
    WN 342 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 SNA → 20:10 SMF
    WN 3872 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 25mLAS 16:45 to SMF 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.