tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:10 RDU → 07:15 BWI
    WN 3422 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:32 BWI → 11:48 ORD
    UA 704 · United · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 38mRDU 06:10 to ORD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.