tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Pittsburgh via Baltimore: arrives on time 30%

  1. 20:20 RDU → 21:30 BWI
    WN 3425 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 BWI → 23:30 PIT
    WN 4164 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 49% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip3h 10mRDU 20:20 to PIT 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.