tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Boston via Baltimore: arrives on time 35%

  1. 20:20 RDU → 21:30 BWI
    WN 3425 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 BWI → 00:10 BOS +1 day
    WN 892 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 56% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip3h 45mRDU 20:20 to BOS 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.