tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 44%

  1. 16:55 RDU → 18:40 DEN
    WN 3428 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 DEN → 00:10 AUS +1 day
    WN 1481 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip8h 10mRDU 16:55 to AUS 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.