tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:55 RDU → 18:40 DEN
    WN 3428 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 DEN → 22:15 MCI
    WN 1589 · Southwest · 1h 42m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection31%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 69% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (31%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 22mRDU 16:55 to MCI 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.