tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:55 RDU → 18:40 DEN
    WN 3428 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 DEN → 23:05 PHX
    WN 1685 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 11mRDU 16:55 to PHX 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.