tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Detroit via Seattle: arrives on time 91%

  1. 22:45 PHX → 01:42 SEA
    WN 3429 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 05:30 SEA → 12:40 DTW +1 day
    DL 812 · Delta · 4h 10m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 55mPHX 22:45 to DTW 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.