tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:15 RDU → 08:55 MCO
    WN 3430 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 MCO → 12:59 DCA
    AA 2088 · American · 2h 19m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 44mRDU 07:15 to DCA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.