tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Orlando: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:15 RDU → 08:55 MCO
    WN 3430 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 MCO → 13:47 JFK
    DL 2049 · Delta · 2h 42m · 82% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 32mRDU 07:15 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.