tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Detroit via St Louis: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:25 RDU → 07:30 STL
    WN 3435 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:20 STL → 12:55 DTW
    DL 2868 · Delta · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 30mRDU 06:25 to DTW 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.