tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Minneapolis via St Louis: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:25 RDU → 07:30 STL
    WN 3435 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:18 STL → 12:55 MSP
    DL 3188 · Delta · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 30mRDU 06:25 to MSP 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.