tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 05:20 RNO → 06:40 LAS
    WN 3445 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:58 LAS → 09:32 SFO
    WN 2934 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 9% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (9%).
Total trip4h 13mRNO 05:20 to SFO 09:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.