tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:00 RNO → 06:45 PHX
    WN 3450 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:43 PHX → 14:45 MSP
    DL 1047 · Delta · 3h 02m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 45mRNO 05:00 to MSP 14:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.