tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 54%

  1. 05:00 RNO → 06:45 PHX
    WN 3450 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 PHX → 16:20 MDW
    WN 4066 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 210 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 15m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip9h 15mRNO 05:00 to MDW 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.