tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 62%

  1. 12:30 ROC → 13:45 BWI
    WN 3458 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:28 BWI → 17:32 MDW
    WN 997 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 66% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Rochester). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 03mROC 12:30 to MDW 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.