tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Kansas City: arrives on time 95%

  1. 20:32 PHX → 01:35 MCI
    WN 3459 · Southwest · 2h 38m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 05:30 MCI → 07:31 ORD +1 day
    AA 3845 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip8h 59mPHX 20:32 to ORD 07:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.