tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Kansas City: arrives on time 98%

  1. 20:32 PHX → 01:35 MCI
    WN 3459 · Southwest · 2h 38m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 05:10 MCI → 08:45 TPA +1 day
    WN 4796 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time98%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip9h 13mPHX 20:32 to TPA 08:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.