tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:30 MDW → 09:20 LAS
    WN 347 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 LAS → 13:50 PHX
    WN 2311 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 20mMDW 07:30 to PHX 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.