tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:30 MDW → 09:20 LAS
    WN 347 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:25 LAS → 13:00 SMF
    WN 4532 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 30mMDW 07:30 to SMF 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.