tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Chicago via Pittsburgh: arrives on time 18%

  1. 16:45 RSW → 19:15 PIT
    WN 3470 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Pittsburgh (PIT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 PIT → 20:40 MDW
    WN 4073 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 55mRSW 16:45 to MDW 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.