tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:35 BUR → 17:58 SMF
    WN 3474 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 SMF → 21:00 SEA
    WN 555 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 25mBUR 16:35 to SEA 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.