tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → New Orleans via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

  1. 06:35 SAN → 12:45 BNA
    WN 3478 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:32 BNA → 15:08 MSY
    WN 595 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 32mSAN 06:35 to MSY 15:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.